01 · THE ENGINE
A digital twin of the globalised world.
Many models, one system, promoted on measured performance. In R&D at the Institute since 2017.
GARI · BUILT ON A RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PRAGUE
GARI's Universal Synaptic Engine simulates markets, trade, policy, logistics and climate as one interacting system — so you can see what is likely to happen next, and test what to do about it.
Audit us before you trust us — see how we measure and publish forecast accuracy.
01 · THE ENGINE
Many models, one system, promoted on measured performance. In R&D at the Institute since 2017.
02 · AVAILABLE TODAY
Forward commodity intelligence for procurement and trading — for businesses and for individuals. Published pricing, from €200/month.
03 · COMMISSION A QUESTION
Tailored intelligence, analysis and future-scenario simulation built around your strategic question.
Market Lens · Available today
Commodity price forecasts, risk analytics and scenario simulation for procurement and trading teams. Built so a procurement manager can act on it on a Monday morning.
Open your categories. 55+ commodities across 7 categories, with 12-month monthly and 1–90-day daily forecasts. Every forecast carries a confidence band; there is never a bare number.
Read the risk in money, not jargon. Value-at-Risk and CVaR give the worst-case cost move over your horizon; regime detection tells you whether the market’s character has changed, not just its price.
Stage the shock that keeps you up at night. Where your plan includes scenario simulation, describe a supply disruption in plain English and watch it ripple through every commodity Market Lens covers. Model a 30-day closure of a major shipping strait — watch your copper and energy exposure react, and leave with a hedge ticket.
Leave with something you can circulate: an Executive Cost Briefing in 6 languages, a Smart Buyer schedule (add-ons) or a PDF hedge ticket. The numbers come from the market-data engine; the words come from the AI analysts — the analysts explain, they never invent.
TWO JOBS. ONE ENGINE.
PROCUREMENT
Monthly-to-annual horizon. 12-month outlooks by category · worst-case cost in euros · Smart Buyer Calculator · Executive Cost Briefing.
The Procurement module is sales-assisted.
For procurement teams →TRADING
Intraday-to-weeks horizon. Daily 1–90-day forecasts · regime probabilities · COT positioning · Smart Flow signals · hedge pairs · Trading Desk.
Individual self-serve plans.
For traders →EU-hosted on Azure West Europe · Entra ID SSO · tenant isolation
Market intelligence and analytics — not investment advice.
Enterprise 360 · Commission a question
Governments, institutions and large companies bring us strategic questions a dashboard was never meant to answer: how a policy shift, a supply-chain rupture or a regional conflict propagates through the systems you depend on, over the horizons you plan against. Enterprise 360 puts the engine and GARI's analysts to work on that one question — tailored intelligence, analysis and future-scenario simulation, with a dedicated team, not a login.
Who it is for
“What does a two-year disruption in a critical mineral do to our industrial base, and what are the three cheapest hedges?”
“Where will disruption, routing risk and infrastructure stress land on our network, and when?”
“Which energy transitions in our portfolio are most exposed to a commodity shock, and how fast does it reach households?”
“Which material dependencies in our technology base could be denied to us, and what is the lead time to substitute?”
Strategic forecasting · Future-scenario simulation · Systems-level analysis · Standing intelligence desk
Enterprise 360 begins with a conversation, not a form.
The Universal Synaptic Engine
Most forecasting isolates a price and extrapolates it. The Universal Synaptic Engine does the opposite: it integrates markets, trade, policy, logistics, climate and behaviour into a single structure. When conditions change anywhere, the engine recalculates their impact across the whole — producing actionable signals, not isolated data points.
Commodities, logistics networks, geopolitics, infrastructure and regulation are modelled as they interact, because that is how shocks actually travel.
Many models run in parallel on the same question, continuously recalibrating against what actually happened.
The engine does not pick a winner and stop. It keeps the losers running, keeps scoring them against what actually happened, and promotes on evidence. Forecasts are never black boxes.
Market Lens is the engine's commodity layer and its first commercial application. Enterprise 360 is the whole engine, pointed at your question.
GARI Enterprise s.r.o. is the commercial spin-off of the Global Arena Research Institute, a non-profit founded in Prague in 2016 that has conducted continuous R&D since 2017 with governments, public institutions and international partners. Market Lens and Enterprise 360 are how that work now reaches the market.
From the briefings
Intelligence Briefings are written by GARI analysts, informed by the engine, and dated. Read them before you read our claims. Every briefing is dated. That is the point.
An illustrative sample, not a market note: it shows how a GARI quarterly macro briefing is assembled. It reports no real indicator, direction or reading.
An illustrative sample, not a market note: it shows how a GARI briefing traces a disruption from one node to the next. It reports no real event, route or region.
An illustrative sample, not a market note: it shows how a GARI commodity briefing is structured. It reports no real event, price or reading.
Advised by a 23-member International Advisory Board drawn from research, industry, defence and public institutions. Advisers, not endorsers: the board challenges our method. It does not sign off on our forecasts.
Turn global chaos into buying confidence.
Published pricing — no sales call to see it. Self-serve from €200/month; Procurement module and enterprise agreements on request.
Tell us the decision you are facing and the horizon you plan against. You will hear back from a person, not a pipeline.